
费城76人队和犹他爵士队本赛季首次在盐湖城对决。是时候继续我们的NBA赔率系列赛,做出一个六人爵士预测和选择了。
六人队保持着18胜9负的总战绩,并且是14胜11负2负。费城队输给了菲尼克斯太阳队。
爵士以22胜5负的战绩保持着联盟最好的战绩,他们以20胜6负1负的战绩战胜了对手。在犹他州最近的一场比赛中,他们击败了迈阿密热火队。
爵士队在三分球命中率和三分球命中率上都领先联盟,而且他们的命中率排名第四。犹他州有五名投手,他们在一场比赛中至少有五次尝试的深渊投篮得分高于平均水平。
他们的整体防守很稳固,但六人队在三线防守上并不出色。他们以对手3分的命中率和3分球的命中率排在联赛的下半部分。
随着趋势的发展,这些数字对费城来说并不太好。
费城队在两位球星都健康的情况下一共输了一场,然后在客场连败。很难看到他们连输三场,或者至少没能覆盖这么大的价差。
在我们出人头地之前,乔尔·埃姆比德还不能上场。
假设赛季初的MVP候选人适合这场大对决,费城至少应该能够让这场比赛成为一场有竞争力的比赛。
埃姆比德是费城的钥匙。面对爵士队在三分线上一直很吝啬的防守,76人队将非常需要油漆桶。队里没有人能比埃姆比德更善于抓住他们。
如果埃姆比德上场,76人将在很大程度上依靠这位大个子来赢得与鲁迪·戈伯特的对决雷霆预测。只要喀麦隆的大个子能得到他通常的低触地得分,我喜欢六人保持这场比赛接近。
虽然分差对于两支伟大的球队来说似乎太高了,但我现在不能用乔尔·恩比德来支持费城。如果他上场,这场比赛应该比8分更接近。我会等到埃姆比德的状态公布之后再拍戏。如果埃姆比德上场的话,我会支持六分球,至少能让比分接近。如果他不这样做,我就拿犹他州以健康的优势获胜。
最终选择:
如果Embiid激活:PHI+5.5或更高
如果Embiid处于非活动状态:UTA-8.5或更低
原标题:
NBA odds: Sixers vs. Jazz prediction, odds, pick, and more
原文:
The Philadelphia 76ers and Utah Jazz meet for the first time this season in a showdown in Salt Lake City. Itâs time to continue our NBA odds series and make a Sixers-Jazz prediction and pick.
The Sixers hold an overall record of 18-9 and are 14-11-2 against the spread. Philadelphia is coming off a loss to the Phoenix Suns.
The Jazz hold the best record in the league at 22-5, and they are 20-6-1 against the spread. In Utahâs most recent game, they defeated the Miami Heat.
Hereâs how sportsbooks have set the opening Sixers-Jazz odds.
Philadelphia 76ers +7.5Â
Utah Jazz -7.5
Over 226 Points
Under 226 Points
If anyone told you the Jazz would be the best team in the league nearing the halfway mark of the season, you probably would’ve laughed at them.
Utah has shocked the league with an elite 3-point shooting unit and lockdown defense. Both are bad news for opponents, but the 3-point shooting prowess is the main problem for the Sixers on Monday.
The Jazz lead the league in 3-pointers made and attempted, and they’re fourth in percentage . Utah boasts five shooters who are shooting above average from deep on at least five attempts a game.
Their overall defense has been solid, but the Sixers haven’t been great at defending the 3-line. They are in the bottom half of the league in opponent 3-point percentage and 3-pointers allowed.
Additionally, these two teams are trending in different directions. The Jazz have won six straight and covered in all of them.
On the other hand, the Sixers’ road problems are popping up again from last year. Philly is only 5-7-2 against the spread when away from Philadelphia, compared to 9-4 when at home. The Sixers are currently on a two-game losing streak, both of them on the road.
As trends go, the numbers don’t look too good for Philly.
The Sixers have been in a slump of late, but there’s no denying they are still an elite team.
Before this mini-losing streak, the Sixers were nearly unbeatable when Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons were healthy.
Philadelphia had a total of one loss with both stars healthy, and then lost back-to-back matchups on the road. It’s hard to see them losing three in a row, or at least failing to cover a spread of this size.
Before we get ahead of ourselves, Joel Embiid is questionable to play.
Assuming the early-season MVP candidate suits up for this huge matchup, Philadelphia should, at the very least, be able to make this a competitive game.
Embiid is the key for Philadelphia. Against a Jazz defense that has been stingy at the 3-point line, the Sixers will need paint buckets badly. There is no one on the team better at getting ’em than Embiid.
If Embiid plays, the Sixers will rely heavily on the big man to win his matchup against Rudy Gobert. As long as the Cameroonian big man can get his usual amount of touches down low, I like the Sixers to keep this game close.
While the point spread seems too high for two great teams, I can’t back Philly with Joel Embiid questionable at the moment. If he plays, this should be a much closer game than eight points. I’ll wait it out until Embiid’s status is announced and make a play from there. If Embiid plays, I’ll back the Sixers to at least make it close. If he doesn’t, I’ll take Utah to win by a healthy margin.
FINAL PICK:
If Embiid is active: PHI +5.5 or higher
If Embiid is inactive: UTA -8.5 or lower